Raila’s Numbers Increasing In Opinion Polls

Raila has cut the gap with Uhuru in the presidential election race, according to the latest opinion poll from the Radio Africa Group.

In the survey, 40 percent of respondents said they would vote for Raila Odinga, the Nasa flagbearer, if the presidential election were held today. Yet in the last Radio Africa poll in March, just 24 percent said they would vote for Raila as president.

In March President Uhuru Kenyatta had 51 percent support but this dropped slightly to 49 percent in May. Raila seems to have picked up his extra support from the Undecideds who dropped from 20 percent in March to 10 percent in May.

So Raila is now just 9 percent behind Uhuru in the presidential race, having languished far behind in the opinion polls for the last two years. At times Raila was down to 26 percent support while Uhuru was at 56 percent support.

Nasa

This is the first opinion poll since Raila was endorsed as the Nasa candidate for president at a rally in Uhuru Park in Nairobi on 27 April, bringing to an end months of speculation on who the Nasa presidential nominee would be.

His running mate will be Kalonzo Musyoka while Deputy President William Ruto will be the running mate of Uhuru.

The Radio Africa poll was conducted by Computer Aided Telephone Interview (CATI) between May 2 and 14 with 3,430 respondents over 18 years in 28 counties. The poll carries a 1.7 percent margin of error with a 95 percent confidence level.