Governor Evans Kidero and Senator Mike Sonko are running neck and neck in the race to become the next governor of Nairobi in 2017.
But Western political heavyweight Eugene Wamalwa has failed to make an impact after declaring his intention to run for Nairobi governor next year.
The poll of self-declared aspirants was conducted on August 2 and 3 by Radio Africa Group research team though computer-assisted telephone methodology. The 500 respondents aged between 18 and 49 years old were drawn from all 17 constituencies in Nairobi. The poll carries a plus or minus 4.3 percent margin of error.
Sonko appears to be leading the race at the moment with 31 percent of respondents saying they would vote for him while Kidero is close behind with 26 percent.
Behind them comes nominated MP and TNA chairman Johnson Sakaja with 10 percent support while five percent said they would vote for Dagoretti South MP Dennis Waweru.
Former Starehe MP Margaret Wanjiru, Water CS Eugene Wamalwa and Miguna Miguna, a former advisor to Raila Odinga, have each got one per cent support.
Sonko is strongest in Starehe where he has 64 percent support but also has very high support in Kamukunji, Makadara and Embakasi Central.
Kidero has 62 percent support in Kibra and is also very strong in Dagoretti North.
No other declared aspirant has above other 30 percent support in any Nairobi constituency.
Another three per cent said they would vote for other candidates while one percent said that they would not vote at all.
However 23 percent of respondents said that they were still undecided on who would vote for. There is therefore a strong possibility that the race could take a different turn, especially after Jubilee and Cord officially adopt their candidates for Nairobi Governor.
In particular it might be a challenge for Sonko to turn his undoubted personal popularity into a winning vote if he was not endorsed by Jubilee or Cord.
The poll found that 62 percent of respondents said they had voted for Kidero in 2013 while 21 percent said they voted for Kabete MP Ferdinand Waititu.
Kidero is the presumptive Cord candidate for Nairobi governor but has not yet been formally endorsed and no-one else has yet indicated that they would challenge him for the nomination.
Kidero is yet to launch his re-election campaign but has been working to deliver his administration’s 2013 pledges despite many unresolved challenges such as traffic congestion and waste management.
Sonko, Sakaja, Waweru, Wanjiru and Wamalwa are all in the race for the Jubilee Party ticket and will battle it out in nominations early next year.
In late July four Mt. Kenya MPs caused consternation in Jubilee by endorsing Wamalwa